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Central Bank estimates sharper economic decline in 2015

The new forecast is a 2.7% drop, sharper than the estimate reported in
Kelly Oliveira reports from Agência Brasil
Published on 24/09/2015 - 09:51
Brasília
banco_central_6.jpg
© Foto: Agência Brasil/Antonio Cruz
Banco Central

Central Bank headquarters, BrasíliaFoto: Agência Brasil/Antonio Cruz

The Central Bank expects the economy to shrink more this year. The outlook for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) decline has been revised from 1.1% in June to 2.7%, according to the Inflation Report released today (Sept. 24).

According to the bank, the agricultural production is expected to grow 2.6% (the previous estimate was 1.9%), whereas the industrial output should fall 5.6% (as against a previous forecast of 3%). The service sector is expected to fall 1.6% compared to a previously estimated 0.8% decline.

Household consumption should drop 2.4%, against an expected 0.5% forecast in June. Investment – Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)—should go down 12.3% against the previous 7% expected in June.

For the 12 months ending in June 2016, the GDP is expected to shrink 2.2%.


Translated by Mayra Borges


Fonte: Central Bank estimates sharper economic decline in 2015